Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000215 0.000241 0.000268 0.000299 0.000334 0.000372 0.000417
2025-01-19 0.000181 0.000216 0.000256 0.000305 0.000363 0.000430 0.000513
2025-01-26 0.000153 0.000193 0.000241 0.000303 0.000381 0.000476 0.000601
2025-02-02 0.000139 0.000184 0.000241 0.000318 0.000420 0.000550 0.000730
2025-02-09 0.000124 0.000172 0.000234 0.000323 0.000446 0.000610 0.000848
2025-02-16 0.000112 0.000161 0.000228 0.000327 0.000470 0.000669 0.000967
2025-02-23 0.000100 0.000149 0.000219 0.000327 0.000487 0.000718 0.001079
2025-03-02 0.000089 0.000137 0.000208 0.000321 0.000495 0.000754 0.001174
2025-03-09 0.000081 0.000128 0.000201 0.000319 0.000508 0.000799 0.001284
2025-03-16 0.000074 0.000121 0.000195 0.000319 0.000524 0.000849 0.001406
2025-03-23 0.000068 0.000115 0.000191 0.000321 0.000541 0.000901 0.001538
2025-03-30 0.000063 0.000109 0.000185 0.000319 0.000553 0.000945 0.001657
2025-04-06 0.000058 0.000103 0.000180 0.000319 0.000569 0.001000 0.001807
2025-04-13 0.000054 0.000098 0.000176 0.000322 0.000589 0.001064 0.001978
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000092 0.000169 0.000318 0.000598 0.001108 0.002117
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000092 0.000172 0.000332 0.000641 0.001220 0.002394
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000089 0.000171 0.000337 0.000668 0.001301 0.002621
2025-05-11 0.000042 0.000085 0.000169 0.000341 0.000691 0.001380 0.002850
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000081 0.000164 0.000340 0.000706 0.001442 0.003053
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000077 0.000158 0.000334 0.000709 0.001481 0.003210
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000073 0.000154 0.000332 0.000721 0.001539 0.003412
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000070 0.000150 0.000332 0.000737 0.001607 0.003644
2025-06-15 0.000030 0.000068 0.000148 0.000334 0.000756 0.001682 0.003899